Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.056282 0.065781 0.076364 0.089025 0.103759 0.120366 0.140506
2025-09-28 0.039950 0.051862 0.066548 0.085976 0.110998 0.142148 0.183896
2025-10-05 0.032308 0.045453 0.062963 0.087974 0.122775 0.169498 0.237054
2025-10-12 0.026821 0.040315 0.059475 0.088621 0.131831 0.193549 0.288500
2025-10-19 0.022755 0.036222 0.056424 0.088878 0.139695 0.216253 0.340504
2025-10-26 0.019914 0.033362 0.054551 0.090284 0.149027 0.241817 0.399735
2025-11-02 0.017931 0.031472 0.053783 0.093104 0.160665 0.272071 0.470011
2025-11-09 0.015282 0.028014 0.049884 0.090051 0.161967 0.285391 0.513649
2025-11-16 0.013541 0.025850 0.047832 0.089780 0.167817 0.306818 0.573631
2025-11-23 0.011997 0.023797 0.045655 0.088906 0.172326 0.326210 0.632122
2025-11-30 0.011014 0.022652 0.044968 0.090655 0.181822 0.355628 0.712718
2025-12-07 0.009851 0.020975 0.043027 0.089674 0.185842 0.375059 0.776276
2025-12-14 0.008681 0.019137 0.040563 0.087395 0.187141 0.389678 0.832876
2025-12-21 0.007616 0.017368 0.038008 0.084585 0.186985 0.401380 0.885117
2025-12-28 0.007101 0.016725 0.037729 0.086588 0.197287 0.435896 0.990140
2026-01-04 0.006534 0.015880 0.036894 0.087232 0.204660 0.464997 1.086949
2026-01-11 0.006003 0.015038 0.035949 0.087486 0.211153 0.492886 1.184497
2026-01-18 0.005603 0.014453 0.035516 0.088871 0.220434 0.528118 1.303469
2026-01-25 0.005325 0.014129 0.035655 0.091647 0.233385 0.573349 1.451932
2026-02-01 0.004747 0.012957 0.033576 0.088641 0.231727 0.583662 1.516292
2026-02-08 0.004376 0.012273 0.032623 0.088374 0.236931 0.611268 1.627491
2026-02-15 0.004013 0.011559 0.031502 0.087514 0.240481 0.635146 1.732097
2026-02-22 0.003800 0.011231 0.031353 0.089236 0.251095 0.678294 1.892863